Reports in this past weekend indicated that Isaac Ruto was warming up for a comeback to elective politics.
It will be interesting to see how Mr Ruto does his calculations, in a political field that is missing him, but which has become a little more complicated since his departure.
Indeed, there are signs that Mr Rutto is being missed in several quarters, one of them the Council of Governors (CoG), which could be feeling his absence the most.
At a recent meeting, CoG chairman Wycliffe Oparanya said as much. He recalled Rutto, who was Bomet governor, was the only one to stand up to the powers that be up to the end on the fraudulent medical equipment lease scheme.
All counties were eventually pressurized to accept the equipment, which cost way beyond market rates and often not suited for the needs of the individual counties.
As CoG chairman, Rutto had everything it takes to give it robust leadership and visibility. His fearlessness, colour and strength of personality enabled him to set a blistering pace that his successors have not been able to match.
Chairing the CoG also gave Isaac Rutto a national profile and following across the country that still misses him.
But Rutto success could also have been too much and too fast for his sobriety, making him want to gun for national politics through his Chama Cha Mashinani (CCM) while at the same time trying to retain the governor’s seat.
When he joined the NASA coalition to challenge the joint ticket of Uhuru and Ruto, the electorate decided he had become a threat to community political aspirations, and liquidated him.
In Bomet County, Isaac is also being missed a lot, but not as much as in 2017, at the beginning of Dr Joyce Laboso’s term. It is not clear if Dr Laboso has improved her performance or whether the electorate are getting used to her style of management, which is very different from that of the former governor.
It is not yet clear which position he intends to vie for in 2022. The former governor recently declared that he does not want to cause his successor, Dr Joyce Laboso any trouble as he knows from personal experience that being in office is trouble enough.
Predicting how easy or difficult it will be for Rutto to dislodge Laboso, should he challenge her therefore remains difficult. But his biggest dilemma will be whether to play national politics, the same thing that sent him home in 2017
If William Ruto will be on the ballot, Isaac might have to support him or remain neutral, as south Rift, among the Kipsigis, the DP is extremely popular, and going against him would be suicidal.
Watching Isaac Ruto’s moves as he prepares to try a comeback is promising to be very interesting.